Why Universal Licensing? The Strategic Focus
Why Universal Licensing? The Strategic Focus
TL;DR: We're building universal licensing infrastructure for ALL intellectual property ($600B+ market), not just AI consent ($5B speculative market). Bigger opportunity, proven demand, profitable from day one.
The Core Decision
We're focusing on universal licensing infrastructure for copyright, patents, trademarks, spatial rights, and biometric rights across all industries.
Not: AI consent layer only Instead: Universal licensing protocol that includes AI (when ready)
Why This Is The Right Move
1. Market Size: 100x Larger
Approach | Market Size | Status |
---|---|---|
AI Licensing Only | $5B | Speculative, unproven |
Universal Licensing | $600B+ | Existing, proven demand |
The math is simple:
- AI consent = $5B speculative market (maybe)
- Universal licensing = $600B existing market (today)
- 100x larger proven opportunity
2. Proven Demand vs. Speculative
AI Licensing Challenges:
- ❌ AI companies don't want to pay (already trained on everything)
- ❌ Synthetic data makes human content less critical
- ❌ Fair use defense (might be legal anyway)
- ❌ Detection is impossible (can't prove what was used)
- ❌ Volume problem (we'd have 0.0006% of training data)
- ❌ Window closed (GPT-4 already trained)
Universal Licensing Reality:
- ✅ $600B spent on licensing TODAY
- ✅ Stock photo sites: $4B (Shutterstock, Getty)
- ✅ Music licensing: $6B (sync, mechanical, performance)
- ✅ Patent royalties: $300B across all industries
- ✅ Trademark licensing: $300B (Disney alone: $54B/year)
- ✅ People are ALREADY PAYING for this
3. Better Unit Economics
Traditional Licensing:
- Middlemen take 30-50% of every transaction
- 90-day payment terms
- Manual negotiations (weeks/months)
- Minimum deal sizes ($1,000+)
- High legal costs
Our Protocol:
- 5% platform fee (6-10x cost advantage)
- Instant settlement via smart contracts
- Automated licensing (no negotiation)
- Micropayments work ($0.50 licenses)
- No lawyers for standard deals
Result: Creators save 25-45%, we still profit massively at 5%
4. Immediate Revenue
Year 1 Revenue: $5M (Nomic ecosystem only)
- 100K users across our 5 projects
- $10M in licensing volume
- 5% fee = $500K from transactions
- Premium SaaS: $1.2M
- NFT minting: $2.5M
- Staking interest: $800K
Year 2 Revenue: $50M (Platform integrations)
- Shutterstock alone: $700M revenue → 5% = $35M to us
- Unity Asset Store: $1B → 5% = $50M to us
- Just TWO integrations = more than AI market
Year 3 Revenue: $500M (Developer tools)
- GitHub, Adobe, Figma, Unreal, Blender
- $1B+ in licensing volume
- Multiple revenue streams
vs. AI-only: $0 revenue until AI companies cooperate (might never happen)
5. Non-Antagonistic Approach
Why platforms will integrate:
For Creators:
- Keep 95% (vs 50-70% traditional)
- Real-time payments (vs 90 days)
- Find investors for their IP
- Enable micropayments
For Platforms (Shutterstock, Spotify, Unity):
- Reduce operational costs (smart contracts automate everything)
- Attract/retain creators (better economics)
- Reduce legal risk (cryptographic proof)
- NEW revenue streams (fractional IP, micropayments)
The pitch: "We save you money while your creators earn more. Everyone wins."
vs. AI approach: "Please sue your customers and share revenue with creators" (they won't do it)
6. Network Effects & Moats
Once we start:
- More creators → More licensees → More platforms integrate
- More platforms → More creators join → More value
- More licensing data → Better pricing models → More transactions
- Token appreciation → Early adopters benefit → More adoption
Moats we build:
- First universal protocol for ALL IP types
- 6-10x cost advantage over traditional
- Network effects compound
- Pricing/valuation data others don't have
- 10+ patents on the infrastructure
7. AI Becomes Bonus, Not Dependency
The beauty of this approach:
Year 1-3: Build with proven licensing markets
- Profitable from day one
- 100M+ creators by Year 3
- $1B+ annual licensing volume
- Industry standard for IP licensing
Year 4+: NOW approach AI companies
- We represent 100M+ creators
- Timestamped blockchain proof for billions of assets
- We're the standard
- They integrate or face lawsuits from 100M people
Key insight: By Year 4, we have leverage. Today, we have none.
If AI companies never integrate: We're still a $500M/year business
What Changed?
What We Got Right
- ✅ Technical architecture (blockchain, smart contracts, fingerprinting)
- ✅ Double Consent™ framework (applies universally)
- ✅ Staking + Proof of Humanity (fraud prevention)
- ✅ Payment automation (smart contracts)
- ✅ Nomic ecosystem integration
What We Adjusted
-
❌ Was: AI companies are first customers
-
✅ Now: Existing licensing markets are first customers
-
❌ Was: Detection/enforcement drives adoption
-
✅ Now: Cost savings drive adoption
-
❌ Was: Fight AI companies via lawsuits
-
✅ Now: Help all parties, fight no one
-
❌ Was: Speculative $5B AI market
-
✅ Now: Proven $600B licensing market
The Numbers That Matter
Market Opportunity Comparison
AI Consent Only:
- Total addressable market: $5B (speculative)
- Our realistic capture: $50M-100M (1-2% if we succeed)
- Probability of success: 20% (most blockchain IP projects fail)
- Expected value: $10M-20M
Universal Licensing:
- Total addressable market: $600B (proven, existing)
- Our realistic capture: $500M-1B (0.1% market share)
- Probability of success: 70% (solving real pain with better economics)
- Expected value: $350M-700M
35-70x better expected value
What Success Looks Like
3-Year Goals:
- 100M creators using the protocol
- $1B annual licensing volume
- 50+ major platform integrations
- $500M annual revenue
- Industry standard for IP licensing
Then AI companies come to us with leverage, not begging.
Why This Wins
1. We're Not Dependent on Anyone
- Start with our Nomic ecosystem (built-in users)
- Existing $600B market (not creating demand)
- Platform economics favor us (saves them money)
- Multiple revenue streams (not single point of failure)
2. We Help Everyone
- Creators earn 25-45% more
- Platforms reduce costs 80%
- Licensees get instant access
- Investors get new asset class (fractional IP)
- No one has reason to resist
3. Profitable From Day One
- $5M Year 1 from Nomic ecosystem
- $50M Year 2 from 2-3 platform integrations
- $500M Year 3 from developer tools
- Not waiting for AI companies
4. We Scale Exponentially
- Network effects compound
- Each integration adds value to all others
- Data moat strengthens with usage
- Token appreciation rewards early adopters
What This Means for Development
Priority Order
Phase 1 (Now - Q1 2025): Nomic Ecosystem
- Integrate licensing across all 5 Nomic projects
- Prove the economics (95% creator payout)
- 100K users, $10M licensing volume
- Validate the model before external fundraising
Phase 2 (Q2-Q3 2025): Platform Integrations
- Approach Shutterstock, Unity, Spotify
- Win-win economics pitch
- 10M users, $100M licensing volume
- Prove we can integrate with major platforms
Phase 3 (Q4 2025 - Q2 2026): Developer Tools
- GitHub, Adobe, Figma, Unreal, Blender
- One-line SDK integration
- 100M users, $1B licensing volume
- Become the standard
Phase 4 (Q3 2026+): AI Integration (Bonus)
- Now we have leverage with 100M+ creators
- AI companies integrate or face legal action
- Adds $100M-500M additional revenue
- We win whether they cooperate or not
The Competition Analysis
Why 90% of Blockchain IP Projects Failed
- Too focused on technology, not market fit
- Tried to force adoption vs. create value
- No revenue until "critical mass" (never came)
- Antagonistic approach alienated partners
- Single use case (if that fails, everything fails)
Why We'll Succeed
- ✅ Multiple use cases (copyright, patents, trademarks, spatial, biometric)
- ✅ Immediate revenue from existing markets
- ✅ Non-antagonistic (save platforms money)
- ✅ Built-in users (Nomic ecosystem)
- ✅ Strong token economics (multiple revenue streams)
- ✅ 6-10x cost advantage over traditional
The Go-to-Market Strategy
Who We Target (In Order)
Year 1: Our Nomic Users (100K)
- People already using Copyrighter, Patentable, Trademarkd, SpatialRights, FaceLink
- They WANT better licensing tools
- Built-in early adopters
Year 2: Major Platforms (10M)
- Shutterstock (2M contributors) - "Creators keep 95%, you save on overhead"
- Spotify (11M creators) - "Real-time micropayments, transparent royalties"
- Unity Asset Store (developers) - "Instant licensing, cross-platform rights"
Year 3: Developer Tools (100M)
- GitHub (100M users) - "One-line code licensing integration"
- Adobe Creative Cloud (26M subscribers) - "Asset licensing built into Photoshop"
- Figma (4M users) - "Design marketplace with instant payment"
Year 4: AI Companies (Bonus)
- "We represent 100M creators with blockchain proof"
- "License easily or face lawsuits"
- "We're the standard, not an option"
Key Metrics
North Star Metric
Total Licensing Volume (TLV) - Dollar value of all licenses processed
Targets:
- Year 1: $10M TLV → $5M revenue
- Year 2: $100M TLV → $50M revenue
- Year 3: $1B TLV → $500M revenue
- Year 4: $10B TLV → $5B revenue (if AI integrates)
Success Indicators
- Organic usage (without incentives)
- Month-over-month growth: 30%+
- Platform integration LOIs
- Creator Net Promoter Score: 50+
- Profitable unit economics
Kill Criteria (90-Day Checkpoints)
If we don't hit these, we revisit:
- Day 30: 1K creators, 100 licenses
- Day 60: 10K creators, 1K licenses, $10K revenue
- Day 90: 25K creators, 10K licenses, $50K revenue
Conclusion: Why This Is Right
Simple truth: We discovered we built licensing infrastructure for everything, not just AI.
The opportunity:
- $600B existing market (vs $5B speculative)
- Profitable from day one (vs waiting for AI)
- Help everyone (vs antagonistic approach)
- Multiple paths to success (vs single dependency)
The execution:
- Prove it works (Nomic ecosystem, Year 1)
- Scale it (Platform integrations, Year 2)
- Make it standard (Developer tools, Year 3)
- Add AI as bonus (When we have leverage, Year 4)
The result: We win whether AI companies cooperate or not.
Next Steps
Immediate (Next 30 Days)
- ✅ Finalize strategic direction
- Update all Nomic projects with licensing layer
- Launch MVP on Base L2
- Onboard first 1,000 creators
- Process first 100 licenses
Strategic Questions to Answer
- When to launch $LICENSE token?
- Which platform to approach first?
- B2B (platforms) or B2C (creators) initial focus?
- Which patents to file first?
- Bootstrap or raise pre-launch?
The Bottom Line
This isn't a pivot. This is recognizing we built something bigger than we initially realized.
We set out to fix AI licensing. We discovered we can fix ALL licensing. That's a much bigger opportunity—and it's actually achievable.
Related Documents:
- Strategic Overview - Complete detailed strategy
- Universal Licensing Protocol - Technical specification
- Critical Risks Analysis - Why AI-only doesn't work
- Competitive Analysis - Why others failed, how we'll succeed